Policy Market Blog

False Accusations and Bad Statistics: Part 2

Martin Kennedy - Friday, October 05, 2018
From a CNN report:  Studies suggest the prevalence of false reporting on sexual assault is between 2% and 10%, according to the National Sexual Violence Resource Center.

And there's a big caveat to those numbers: "Research shows that rates of false reporting are frequently inflated, in part because of inconsistent definitions and protocols," the resource center said.
For example, some law enforcement agencies might label a rape claim as "false" just because there's not enough corroborating evidence to prosecute.

TPM: True, but most law enforcement agencies label such claims accurately – baseless.  And, some portion of those ‘baseless’ claims are actually false.  It is hard to determine the true rate of false reporting.

Further, only 19% of those who make accusations say that it was a stranger.  Most cases are acquaintances and men with whom the victim had once been intimate. 

Throw alcohol consumption into the mix, most often the case, and the entire thing becomes absurdly complex. 

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